https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=469761
"Well, out of curiosity - how much did you lose?"
The Confessor seemed to freeze, for a moment. "What?"
"How much did you lose in the legislative prediction markets, betting on whatever dreadful outcome you thought would happen?"
I had to go see if this was written in the last month or so. It is from 2009.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=469761