> Over a year ago I advised the Register I would not renew when my 2024 contract expired with the latest election poll as I transition to other ventures and opportunities.
> Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course. It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite. I am proud of the work I’ve done for the Register, for the Detroit Free Press, for the Indianapolis Star, for Bloomberg News and for other public and private organizations interested in elections. They were great clients and were happy with my work.
You can of course choose to interpret this if you wish as her conveniently inventing a narrative after-the-fact, but that seems unlikely. The polling industry doesn't work that way, and it's particularly unlikely that the Register would have cut ties with her over a single poll after her impressive track record for nearly forty years.
Since there's no real evidence that's what happened, the most reasonable conclusion is that, as she said, she decided to retire after spending four decades doing the same thing.
The idea is not that the Register cut ties with her, but that her personal safety was at risk and she was getting brutally harassed by millions of people and the POTUS-elect. See my other comment for details.
Yeah, after reading the NYT article[0], I'll amend my earlier statement "since there's no real evidence that's what happened," since that is some pretty strong evidence that something happened (albeit more complicated than simply "her poll was wrong, so she lost her job").
It didn't.
> Over a year ago I advised the Register I would not renew when my 2024 contract expired with the latest election poll as I transition to other ventures and opportunities.
> Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course. It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite. I am proud of the work I’ve done for the Register, for the Detroit Free Press, for the Indianapolis Star, for Bloomberg News and for other public and private organizations interested in elections. They were great clients and were happy with my work.
You can of course choose to interpret this if you wish as her conveniently inventing a narrative after-the-fact, but that seems unlikely. The polling industry doesn't work that way, and it's particularly unlikely that the Register would have cut ties with her over a single poll after her impressive track record for nearly forty years.
Since there's no real evidence that's what happened, the most reasonable conclusion is that, as she said, she decided to retire after spending four decades doing the same thing.
[0] https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2...